Statistics Hacks: Tips & Tools for Measuring the World and Beating the Odds

Bruce Frey

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Want to calculate the probability that an event will happen? Be able to spot fake data? Prove beyond doubt whether one thing causes another? Or learn to be a better gambler? You can do that and much more with 75 practical and fun hacks packed into Statistics Hacks. These cool tips, tricks, and mind-boggling solutions from the world of statistics, measurement, and research methods will not only amaze and entertain you, but will give you an advantage in several real-world situations-including business.

Want to calculate the probability that an event will happen? Be able to spot fake data? Prove beyond doubt whether one thing causes another? Or learn to be a better gambler? You can do that and much more with 75 practical and fun hacks packed into Statistics Hacks. These cool tips, tricks, and mind-boggling solutions from the world of statistics, measurement, and research methods will not only amaze and entertain you, but will give you an advantage in several real-world situations-including business.


This book is ideal for anyone who likes puzzles, brainteasers, games, gambling, magic tricks, and those who want to apply math and science to everyday circumstances. Several hacks in the first chapter alone-such as the "central limit theorem,", which allows you to know everything by knowing just a little-serve as sound approaches for marketing and other business objectives. Using the tools of inferential statistics, you can understand the way probability works, discover relationships, predict events with uncanny accuracy, and even make a little money with a well-placed wager here and there.



Statistics Hacks presents useful techniques from statistics, educational and psychological measurement, and experimental research to help you solve a variety of problems in business, games, and life. You'll learn how to:



  • Play smart when you play Texas Hold 'Em, blackjack, roulette, dice games, or even the lottery
  • Design your own winnable bar bets to make money and amaze your friends
  • Predict the outcomes of baseball games, know when to "go for two" in football, and anticipate the winners of other sporting events with surprising accuracy
  • Demystify amazing coincidences and distinguish the truly random from the only seemingly random--even keep your iPod's "random" shuffle honest
  • Spot fraudulent data, detect plagiarism, and break codes
  • How to isolate the effects of observation on the thing observed


Whether you're a statistics enthusiast who does calculations in your sleep or a civilian who is entertained by clever solutions to interesting problems, Statistics Hacks has tools to give you an edge over the world's slim odds.

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描述

想要計算事件發生的概率嗎?能夠辨識假數據嗎?能夠無疑地證明一件事是否導致另一件事嗎?或者想要成為一個更好的賭徒嗎?你可以通過《統計學技巧》中的75個實用而有趣的技巧來實現這些目標。這些來自統計學、測量學和研究方法領域的酷炫技巧、訣竅和令人難以置信的解決方案不僅會讓你驚嘆和娛樂,還會在多種現實情況下(包括商業領域)給你帶來優勢。

這本書非常適合喜歡解謎、腦筋急轉彎、遊戲、賭博、魔術等的人,以及那些希望將數學和科學應用於日常情況的人。第一章中的幾個技巧,例如“中心極限定理”,讓你只需知道一點點就能了解一切,這些技巧對於市場營銷和其他商業目標是有效的方法。通過使用推論統計學的工具,你可以理解概率的運作方式,發現關係,以驚人的準確性預測事件,甚至可以通過巧妙的賭注賺取一些錢。

《統計學技巧》介紹了統計學、教育和心理測量學以及實驗研究中的有用技術,幫助你解決商業、遊戲和生活中的各種問題。你將學會如何:

- 在玩德州撲克、二十一點、輪盤、骰子遊戲甚至彩票時玩得聰明
- 設計自己能贏錢並讓朋友驚嘆的酒吧賭注
- 預測棒球比賽的結果,知道何時在足球比賽中“冒險”,並以驚人的準確性預測其他體育賽事的勝利者
- 解開驚人的巧合,區分真正的隨機和表面上的隨機-甚至讓你的iPod的“隨機”播放功能保持誠實
- 發現虛假數據,檢測抄襲,破解密碼
- 如何將觀察對觀察對象的影響進行隔離

無論你是一個熱愛統計學並能夠在睡覺時進行計算的統計學愛好者,還是一個對有趣問題的巧妙解決方案感到娛樂的普通人,《統計學技巧》都有工具可以讓你在世界上渺茫的機會中獲得優勢。