商品描述
From a pioneer in the field of complexity science and chaos theory, a plan for solving the world's most pressing problems "Farmer convincingly argues that by using big data and today's more powerful computers, we can build more realistic models and simulations of the global economy. . . . Farmer's vision will undoubtedly be significant in how economics evolves."--Tej Parikh, Financial Times, "Best New Books on Economics" "Both a manifesto for a revolution in economics and a memoir of an unusual career."--Ed Ballard,
Wall Street Journal We live in an age of increasing complexity--an era of accelerating technology and global interconnection that holds more promise, and more peril, than any other time in human history. The fossil fuels that have powered global wealth creation now threaten to destroy the world they helped build. Automation and digitization promise prosperity for some, unemployment for others. Financial crises fuel growing inequality, polarization, and the retreat of democracy. At heart, all these problems are rooted in the economy, yet the guidance provided by economic models has often failed.
Many books have been written about J. Doyne Farmer and his work, but this is the first in his own words. It presents a manifesto for how to do economics better. In this tale of science and ideas, Farmer fuses his profound knowledge and expertise with stories from his life to explain how we can bring a scientific revolution to bear on the economic conundrums facing society.
Using big data and ever more powerful computers, we are now able for the first time to apply complex systems science to economic activity, building realistic models of the global economy. The resulting simulations and the emergent behavior we observe form the cornerstone of the science of complexity economics, allowing us to test ideas and make significantly better economic predictions--to better address the hard problems facing the world.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
來自複雜性科學與混沌理論領域先驅，為解決世界最迫切問題提出的方案
「Farmer 令人信服地主張，透過大數據與今日功能更強大的電腦，我們可以建立更貼近現實的全球經濟模型與模擬……Farmer 的願景無疑將對經濟學的發展產生重大影響。」——Tej Parikh，《Financial Times》「經濟學最佳新書」
「既是經濟學革命的宣言，也是對一段非凡職涯的回憶。」——Ed Ballard，《Wall Street Journal》
我們身處於一個日益複雜的時代——這是一個科技加速發展、全球相互連結日益緊密的時代；它所蘊含的希望與危險，都超越了人類歷史上的任何時期。曾經推動全球財富創造的化石燃料，如今卻威脅著摧毀它們協助建立的世界。自動化與數位化為部分人帶來繁榮，卻也可能使其他人失業。金融危機加劇了日益嚴重的不平等與政治極化，也促使民主制度逐漸退縮。從根本上說，所有這些問題都源自經濟；然而，經濟模型所提供的指引往往未能奏效。
關於 J. Doyne Farmer 及其研究成果，已有許多著作問世，但這是第一本以他本人觀點撰寫的書。本書提出了一套讓經濟學做得更好的宣言。在這段關於科學與思想的故事中，Farmer 將深厚的知識與專業，融入自己人生經歷中的故事，說明我們如何將科學革命應用於解決社會所面臨的經濟難題。
如今，運用大數據與功能日益強大的電腦，我們終於首次能夠將複雜系統科學應用於經濟活動，建立貼近現實的全球經濟模型。由此產生的模擬結果，以及我們觀察到的湧現行為，構成複雜性經濟學（complexity economics）的基石；這讓我們得以驗證各種想法，做出大幅改善的經濟預測，進而更有效地處理世界所面臨的棘手問題。
作者簡介
J. Doyne Farmer is director of the complexity economics program at the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, Baillie Gifford Professor of Complex Systems Science at the Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment at the University of Oxford, and an external professor at the Santa Fe Institute. He divides his time between Oxford, UK, and New York.
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
J. Doyne Farmer 是 Oxford Martin School 的 Institute for New Economic Thinking 複雜性經濟學計畫主任、University of Oxford Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment 的 Baillie Gifford 複雜系統科學教授，以及 Santa Fe Institute 的外聘教授。他往返於英國 Oxford 與 New York 兩地。
