Bayes' Rule: A Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis

James V Stone

商品描述

Discovered by an 18th century mathematician and preacher, Bayes' rule is a cornerstone of modern probability theory. In this richly illustrated book, a range of accessible examples is used to show how Bayes' rule is actually a natural consequence of common sense reasoning. Bayes' rule is then derived using intuitive graphical representations of probability, and Bayesian analysis is applied to parameter estimation using the MatLab and Python programs provided online. The tutorial style of writing, combined with a comprehensive glossary, makes this an ideal primer for novices who wish to become familiar with the basic principles of Bayesian analysis.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

貝葉斯定理是18世紀的一位數學家和牧師所發現的,它是現代概率論的基石。在這本豐富插圖的書中,使用一系列易懂的例子來展示貝葉斯定理實際上是常識推理的自然結果。書中使用直觀的圖形表示推導出貝葉斯定理,並且使用MatLab和Python提供的程式來進行參數估計的貝葉斯分析。這本書以教學風格的寫作方式,結合全面的詞彙表,非常適合初學者熟悉貝葉斯分析的基本原理。