The Taiwan Tinderbox: The Island-Nation at the Center of the New Cold War
暫譯: 台灣火藥桶：新冷戰中心的島國

Cole, J. Michael

The Taiwan Tinderbox: The Island-Nation at the Center of the New Cold War
  • 出版商: Polity
  • 出版日期: 2025-11-18
  • 售價: $1,260
  • 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $1,197
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 250
  • 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
  • ISBN: 1509568050
  • ISBN-13: 9781509568055

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商品描述

Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 shocked the world and overturned assumptions that large-scale conventional war was inconceivable in the 21st century. On the other side of the planet, democratic Taiwan faces the rising threat of a military takeover by China - a conflict whose impact on the international community would be catastrophic.

Renowned Taiwan expert and former intelligence officer J. Michael Cole explains how this Pacific nation has become a tinderbox that could ignite a full-scale global conflict. Drawing on unparalleled access to Taiwanese government sources and two decades of on-the-ground observation, he explores the root causes of the conflict between Taiwan and China - from the identity politics that make "peaceful unification" inconceivable, to the rise of Xi Jinping, the most powerful and authoritarian Chinese leader since Mao Zedong. With in-depth analysis of how the war in Europe is influencing preparations by Beijing, Taipei, and Washington for a potential cross-strait confrontation, The Taiwan Tinderbox is an impassioned plea for the defense of Taiwan as a priority for the international community and the future of democracy.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

俄羅斯於2022年2月入侵烏克蘭震驚了全世界，顛覆了人們對21世紀大型常規戰爭不可想像的假設。在地球的另一端，民主的台灣面臨著中國軍事接管的日益威脅——這場衝突對國際社會的影響將是災難性的。

著名的台灣專家及前情報官員J. Michael Cole解釋了這個太平洋國家如何成為一個可能引發全面全球衝突的火藥桶。他憑藉對台灣政府來源的無與倫比的接觸和二十年的實地觀察，探討了台灣與中國之間衝突的根本原因——從使「和平統一」不可想像的身份政治，到自毛澤東以來最強大且專制的中國領導人習近平的崛起。透過深入分析歐洲戰爭如何影響北京、台北和華盛頓對潛在兩岸對抗的準備，The Taiwan Tinderbox 是對國際社會將台灣防衛作為優先事項及民主未來的熱情呼籲。

作者簡介

J. Michael Cole is a Senior Non-Resident Fellow with the Global Taiwan Institute in Washington, D.C., the Macdonald-Laurier Institute in Ottawa, Canada, and the Taiwan Hub at the University of Nottingham, UK. He is also a Research Fellow and Executive Editor with the Prospect Foundation in Taiwan, and a strategic consultant for various governments and the private sector. Until May 2024, he was the Senior Advisor on Countering Foreign Authoritarian Influence (CFAI) with the International Republican Institute (IRI). He is a former analyst with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS) in Ottawa.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

J. Michael Cole 是位於華盛頓特區的全球台灣研究所（Global Taiwan Institute）資深非駐留研究員、位於加拿大渥太華的麥克唐納-勞里研究所（Macdonald-Laurier Institute）研究員，以及英國諾丁漢大學的台灣中心（Taiwan Hub）研究員。他同時也是台灣前瞻基金會（Prospect Foundation）的研究員和執行編輯，並擔任多個政府及私營部門的戰略顧問。直到2024年5月，他擔任國際共和研究所（International Republican Institute, IRI）反制外國威權影響（Countering Foreign Authoritarian Influence, CFAI）資深顧問。他曾是加拿大安全情報局（Canadian Security Intelligence Service, CSIS）在渥太華的分析師。

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