Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Terrorist Attacks: Exemplified by Jama'at Nasr Al-Islam Wal Muslimin
暫譯: 預測恐怖攻擊的機器學習技術：以伊斯蘭與穆斯林勝利團體為例

Mostert, Laura, Lindelauf, Roy, Pulice, Chiara

Machine Learning Techniques to Predict Terrorist Attacks: Exemplified by Jama'at Nasr Al-Islam Wal Muslimin
  • 出版商: Springer
  • 出版日期: 2025-07-03
  • 售價: $1,960
  • 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $1,862
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 132
  • 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
  • ISBN: 3031931734
  • ISBN-13: 9783031931734
  • 相關分類: Machine Learning

    • 海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)

商品描述

One of the most influential actors in spreading Islamist violence across the Sahel is Jama'at Nasr Al Islam Wal Muslimin (JNIM).This book provides the first systematic quantitative analysis of JNIM's behavior by analyzing a 12-year database of JNIM's attacks and the environment surrounding JNIM. This book leverages AI/ML predictive models to accurately predict almost 40 types of attacks using over 80 independent variables.

This book describes a set of temporal probabilistic rules that state that when the environment in which the group operates satisfies some conditions, then an attack of a certain type will likely occur in the next N months. This provides a deep, easy to comprehend understanding of the conditions under which JNIM carries various kinds of attacks up to 6 months into the future.

This book will serve as an invaluable guide to scholars (computer scientists, political scientists, policy makers). Military officers, intelligence personnel, and government employees, who seek to understand, predict, and eventually mitigate attacks by JNIM and bring peace to the nations of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger will want to purchase this book as well.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

在撒哈拉以南地區，擴散伊斯蘭主義暴力的最具影響力的組織之一是Jama'at Nasr Al Islam Wal Muslimin (JNIM)。本書首次對JNIM的行為進行系統性的定量分析，通過分析JNIM在12年間的攻擊數據庫及其周邊環境。本書利用人工智慧/機器學習（AI/ML）預測模型，準確預測近40種攻擊類型，並使用超過80個獨立變數。

本書描述了一組時間性概率規則，這些規則指出當該組織運作的環境滿足某些條件時，某種類型的攻擊在接下來的N個月內很可能會發生。這提供了對JNIM在未來6個月內進行各種攻擊的條件的深入且易於理解的認識。

本書將成為學者（計算機科學家、政治學家、政策制定者）的寶貴指南。軍事官員、情報人員和政府雇員，若希望理解、預測並最終減輕JNIM的攻擊，並為馬利、布基納法索和尼日爾的國家帶來和平，也會希望購買本書。

作者簡介

Laura Mostert is an officer in the Royal Netherlands Air Force with a background in war studies and cyber security governance.

Roy Lindelauf is the Chair Data Science in Military Operations at Faculty of Military Sciences at Netherlands Defence Academy and an Endowed Chair Data Science for Safety, Security at the Department of Cognitive Science & Artificial Intelligence at Tilburg School of Humanities and Digital Sciences. He is also Head of Data Science Center of Excellence at Netherlands Ministry of Defence.

Chiara Pulice is a Senior Research Associate in computer science with Northwestern University, Evanston, IL, USA. Her research interests include counter-terrorism and machine learning. She received the Ph.D. degree in computer and systems engineering from the University of Calabria, Cosenza, Italy, in 2015.

Marnix Provoost is an active duty officer in the Royal Netherlands Army. He holds a Master's degree in Military Strategic Studies and is currently positioned at the Netherlands Defence Academy as a fulltime PhD student. His research is focused on insurgencies and their analogies with state formation.

Priyanka Amin has recently finished her undergraduate degree in computer science and global history at Northwestern University.

V.S. Subrahmanian is the Walter P. Murphy Professor of Computer Science and Buffett Faculty Fellow in the Buffett Institute for Global Affairs at Northwestern University where he also heads the Northwestern Security & AI Lab. He is one of the world's foremost experts at the intersection of AI and Security matters ranging from counterterrorism to cybersecurity to border issues and warfare. An elected Fellow of AAAI and AAAS, he has previously served as Director of the Institute for Security, Technology, and Society at Dartmouth College and as Director of the University of Maryland Institute for Advanced Computer Studies.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

Laura Mostert 是荷蘭皇家空軍的一名軍官，擁有戰爭研究和網絡安全治理的背景。
Roy Lindelauf 是荷蘭國防學院軍事科學系的軍事行動數據科學主席，以及蒂爾堡人文與數位科學學院認知科學與人工智慧系的安全數據科學特聘教授。他同時也是荷蘭國防部數據科學卓越中心的負責人。
Chiara Pulice 是美國伊利諾伊州埃文斯頓的西北大學計算機科學的高級研究助理。她的研究興趣包括反恐和機器學習。她於2015年在意大利卡拉布里亞大學獲得計算機與系統工程的博士學位。
Marnix Provoost 是荷蘭皇家陸軍的一名現役軍官。他擁有軍事戰略研究的碩士學位，目前在荷蘭國防學院擔任全職博士生。他的研究專注於叛亂活動及其與國家形成的類比。
Priyanka Amin 最近在西北大學完成了計算機科學和全球歷史的本科學位。
V.S. Subrahmanian 是西北大學的沃爾特·P·墨菲計算機科學教授及巴菲特全球事務研究所的巴菲特教職員。他同時負責西北安全與人工智慧實驗室。他是全球在人工智慧與安全問題交集領域的頂尖專家之一，涵蓋反恐、網絡安全、邊界問題及戰爭等範疇。他是AAAI和AAAS的當選院士，曾擔任達特茅斯學院安全、技術與社會研究所的所長，以及馬里蘭大學高級計算機研究所的所長。

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