Storycasting: Making Plausible Futures Compelling Through Speculative Fiction
暫譯: 故事投影：透過推測小說創造引人入勝的合理未來

Owens, Christopher

Storycasting: Making Plausible Futures Compelling Through Speculative Fiction
  • 出版商: Springer
  • 出版日期: 2025-10-14
  • 售價: $2,190
  • 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $2,081
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 100
  • 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
  • ISBN: 3031950631
  • ISBN-13: 9783031950636
  • 相關分類: 科技科普 Technology

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相關主題

商品描述

This book is a guide to Storycasting for futures and forecasting practitioners. A portmanteau of 'storytelling' and 'Threatcasting, ' Storycasting is a supplementary application of the Threatcasting model, which develops meaningful and human-centric qualitative data that can be presented in thought-provoking narratives that illicit responses and stimulate interest in the outcomes. This book proposes that in distilling the work product of strategic futures planning, threat assessments, and long-term thinking into bulletized reports, organizations significantly diminish the interest as well as insight that can be gleaned from such efforts. In order to recapture the attention of senior leaders and decision makers, the Storycasting model covered in this book presents a way of converting the plausible into the compelling. After guiding readers through the theoretical and practical aspects of Storycasting, the book includes a case study novella, news reporting, and industry publications to demonstrate the potential of the methodology. Through this, the author creates a reality-based and human-centered scenario rooted in a possible future in which a proposed policy is realized, including anticipated add-on effects, reactionary push-back, and supplemental action that can be anticipated through speculative fiction using the Threatcasting methodology. The book closes with an analysis of the narrative output and advises readers on optimizing their own stories to best relate important projections to their organizations, clients, policymakers, and other stakeholders.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

本書是針對未來學和預測實務者的 Storycasting 指南。Storycasting 是「故事講述」（storytelling）和「威脅預測」（Threatcasting）的合成詞，是威脅預測模型的一種補充應用，旨在發展有意義且以人為中心的定性數據，這些數據可以以引人深思的敘事方式呈現，激發反應並刺激對結果的興趣。本書提出，將戰略未來規劃、威脅評估和長期思考的工作成果提煉成簡報報告，會顯著降低組織從這些努力中獲得的興趣和洞察力。為了重新吸引高層領導和決策者的注意，本書所涵蓋的 Storycasting 模型提供了一種將合理的內容轉化為引人注目的方式。在引導讀者了解 Storycasting 的理論和實踐方面後，本書還包括案例研究小說、新聞報導和行業出版物，以展示該方法論的潛力。通過這些內容，作者創造了一個基於現實且以人為中心的情境，根植於一個可能的未來，在該未來中，所提議的政策得以實現，包括預期的附加效果、反應性抵制以及通過使用威脅預測方法論所能預見的補充行動。本書最後分析了敘事產出，並建議讀者如何優化自己的故事，以最佳方式將重要的預測與其組織、客戶、政策制定者及其他利益相關者相關聯。

作者簡介

Christopher Owens is a program analyst. He was on active duty in the US Coast Guard for 22 years before returning to academia to earn a master's degree in international development studies. His research leverages a sociologist's pragmatic curiosity to geopolitics and global trends. After years of writing vignettes and strategic foresight scenarios developed from real-world trends in a professional capacity, he began developing longer-form speculative fiction such as short stories and a novel, " Doublin' ", published in 2025. He co-authored "The Future of Cyber Enabled Financial Crime: New Crimes, New Criminals, and Economic Warfare" and "Microtargeting Unmasked: Safeguarding Law Enforcement, the Military, and the Nation in the Era of Personalized Threats." Other unpublished non-fiction topics include culture-smart aid programs, gender issues in international development, and organizational self-assessment frameworks.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

克里斯多福·歐文斯（Christopher Owens）是一名程式分析師。他在美國海岸警衛隊服役22年後，回到學術界獲得國際發展研究的碩士學位。他的研究利用社會學家的務實好奇心來探討地緣政治和全球趨勢。在專業領域中，經過多年撰寫基於現實世界趨勢的短篇故事和戰略前瞻情境後，他開始創作更長篇的推測性小說，如短篇故事和小說《Doublin》，該書將於2025年出版。他共同撰寫了《網絡啟用金融犯罪的未來：新犯罪、新罪犯與經濟戰爭》（The Future of Cyber Enabled Financial Crime: New Crimes, New Criminals, and Economic Warfare）和《微目標揭密：在個人化威脅時代保護執法機構、軍事和國家》（Microtargeting Unmasked: Safeguarding Law Enforcement, the Military, and the Nation in the Era of Personalized Threats）。其他未出版的非小說主題包括文化智慧援助計畫、國際發展中的性別議題以及組織自我評估框架。

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