Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, 3/e (Hardcover)

Yacov Y. Haimes

  • 出版商: Wiley
  • 出版日期: 2008-12-01
  • 定價: $4,680
  • 售價: 9.5$4,446
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 1040
  • 裝訂: Hardcover
  • ISBN: 0470282371
  • ISBN-13: 9780470282373
  • 立即出貨 (庫存=1)

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商品描述

  • Examines timely multidisciplinary applications, problems, and case histories in risk modeling, assessment, and management

    Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Third Edition describes the state of the art of risk analysis, a rapidly growing field with important applications in engineering, science, manufacturing, business, homeland security, management, and public policy. Unlike any other text on the subject, this definitive work applies the art and science of risk analysis to current and emergent engineering and socioeconomic problems. It clearly demonstrates how to quantify risk and construct probabilities for real-world decision-making problems, including a host of institutional, organizational, and political issues.

    Avoiding higher mathematics whenever possible, this important new edition presents basic concepts as well as advanced material. It incorporates numerous examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion and features restructured and updated chapters, as well as:

    • A new chapter applying systems-driven and risk-based analysis to a variety of Homeland Security issues

    • An accompanying FTP site—developed with Professor Joost Santos—that offers 150 example problems with an Instructor's Solution Manual and case studies from a variety of journals

    • Case studies on the 9/11 attack and Hurricane Katrina

    • An adaptive multiplayer Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) game added to Chapter Three

    This is an indispensable resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in such diverse areas as homeland and cyber security, healthcare, the environment, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more. It is also a valuable textbook for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses with a focus on our uncertain world.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

《風險建模、評估和管理》第三版描述了風險分析這一快速發展領域的最新狀態,該領域在工程、科學、製造業、商業、國土安全、管理和公共政策等領域具有重要應用。與其他任何關於此主題的文獻不同,這本權威著作將風險分析的藝術和科學應用於當前和新興的工程和社會經濟問題。它清楚地展示了如何量化風險並為現實世界的決策問題建立概率,包括一系列機構、組織和政治問題。

本重要新版在盡可能避免高等數學的情況下,呈現了基本概念以及高級材料。它包含了眾多例子和案例研究,以說明所討論的分析方法,並且具有重組和更新的章節,以及:

- 一個新章節將系統驅動和基於風險的分析應用於各種國土安全問題
- 一個與Joost Santos教授合作開發的FTP網站,提供150個例題和一個教師解答手冊,以及來自各種期刊的案例研究
- 關於9/11襲擊和卡特里娜颶風的案例研究
- 在第三章中新增了一個適應性多人層次全息建模(HHM)遊戲

這是一本不可或缺的資源,適用於國土安全、網絡安全、醫療保健、環境、實體基礎設施系統、工程、商業等各個領域的學術、工業和政府專業人士。對於系統工程和系統管理課程的本科和研究生學生,尤其是關注我們不確定世界的學生,這也是一本有價值的教材。