商品描述
The book focuses on applied methodology, and summarizes the main issues in the practical applications associated with space-time point processes. In particular, the questions addressed in this book are:
- How can one summarize space-time point process data? How are space-time point processes modeled? What are the different ways of estimating parameters in space-time point process models, and how do they compare? How can space-time point process models be estimated non-parametrically? What techniques exist for assessing how well a space-time point process model fits to data, or for comparing the fit of multiple models? How can one use a space-time point process model to forecast the probability of future events?
商品描述(中文翻譯)
本書專注於應用方法論,並總結與時空點過程相關的實際應用中的主要問題。特別是,本書所探討的問題包括:
- 如何總結時空點過程數據?
- 時空點過程是如何建模的?
- 在時空點過程模型中,有哪些不同的參數估計方法,這些方法之間有何比較?
- 如何以非參數方式估計時空點過程模型?
- 存在哪些技術可以評估時空點過程模型與數據的擬合程度,或比較多個模型的擬合效果?
- 如何使用時空點過程模型預測未來事件的概率?
本書貫穿了應用範例,並包含了實現書中討論的所有技術的 R 代碼。本書涵蓋了點過程的標準、經典方法,如泊松過程、Cox 過程、Neyman-Scott 過程、Hawkes 模型、條件強度、核平滑和 Ripley 的 K 函數,並描述了時空點過程的重要近期進展,如模型無關隨機去叢集(Model-Independent Stochastic Declustering, MISD)、Stoyan-Grabarnik 參數估計、Voronoi 偏差殘差和超稀疏殘差。
本書旨在用於研究生或本科生的教學。每章末尾提供了樣本練習,這些問題不太困難,因此適合應用統計的本科生或研究生。目標是教育和培訓學生在時空點過程數據的總結、描述和預測的實際方面。
作者簡介
Frederic Schoenberg has been a professor of Statistics at UCLA since 1998, serving as Chair of Statistics from 2012 to 2015 and Director of the Masters of Applied Statistics program since 2018. His research specializes in point processes and their applications in the environmental sciences, especially to the study of earthquakes, wildfires, crimes, and epidemic diseases. He is Associate Editor for Annals of Applied Statistics, founder and co-Editor of the Journal of Environmental Statistics, and Board Member of International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (IJERPH) Section for Health Care Sciences and Services. In 2017, he published the 2nd edition of his book, An Introduction to Probability with Texas Hold'em Examples.
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
弗雷德里克·肖恩伯格自1998年以來一直擔任加州大學洛杉磯分校(UCLA)統計學教授,並於2012年至2015年擔任統計學系主任,自2018年以來擔任應用統計碩士課程主任。他的研究專注於點過程及其在環境科學中的應用,特別是對地震、野火、犯罪和流行病的研究。他是應用統計年鑑的副編輯,環境統計學期刊的創始人及共同編輯,以及國際環境研究與公共衛生期刊(IJERPH)健康科學與服務部門的董事會成員。2017年,他出版了他的書籍機率導論:德州撲克範例的第二版。